Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.001468 0.001547 0.001628 0.001717 0.001814 0.001915 0.002028
2025-06-08 0.001348 0.001461 0.001582 0.001721 0.001877 0.002047 0.002248
2025-06-15 0.001250 0.001384 0.001532 0.001706 0.001909 0.002137 0.002416
2025-06-22 0.001179 0.001329 0.001496 0.001700 0.001942 0.002224 0.002580
2025-06-29 0.001116 0.001275 0.001457 0.001683 0.001959 0.002287 0.002714
2025-07-06 0.001060 0.001226 0.001420 0.001664 0.001968 0.002338 0.002831
2025-07-13 0.001000 0.001169 0.001368 0.001623 0.001946 0.002347 0.002893
2025-07-20 0.000970 0.001145 0.001354 0.001627 0.001980 0.002426 0.003048
2025-07-27 0.000945 0.001126 0.001346 0.001637 0.002019 0.002512 0.003215
2025-08-03 0.000927 0.001115 0.001347 0.001657 0.002071 0.002617 0.003413
2025-08-10 0.000900 0.001092 0.001330 0.001653 0.002091 0.002677 0.003551
2025-08-17 0.000865 0.001055 0.001295 0.001623 0.002074 0.002686 0.003613
2025-08-24 0.000835 0.001027 0.001270 0.001609 0.002080 0.002731 0.003739
2025-08-31 0.000815 0.001011 0.001262 0.001616 0.002117 0.002823 0.003940
2025-09-07 0.000789 0.000985 0.001240 0.001603 0.002124 0.002871 0.004078
2025-09-14 0.000767 0.000965 0.001224 0.001598 0.002141 0.002934 0.004241
2025-09-21 0.000744 0.000941 0.001202 0.001583 0.002143 0.002973 0.004369
2025-09-28 0.000721 0.000917 0.001179 0.001565 0.002140 0.003003 0.004483
2025-10-05 0.000692 0.000885 0.001143 0.001527 0.002104 0.002981 0.004507
2025-10-12 0.000679 0.000873 0.001137 0.001531 0.002133 0.003061 0.004710
2025-10-19 0.000668 0.000865 0.001133 0.001540 0.002168 0.003153 0.004940
2025-10-26 0.000661 0.000861 0.001137 0.001559 0.002219 0.003273 0.005229
2025-11-02 0.000647 0.000848 0.001125 0.001555 0.002234 0.003334 0.005413